Strategy Tester
A successful strategy requires time to prove itself.
While a strategy may look flawless on paper, real-world results depend on actual trades, where factors like emotions come into play.
To minimize the impact of emotions, a solid trading plan should be as mechanical as possible.
That’s what I aim to showcase here. On this page, I document every trade made using a specific strategy so you can see its performance in action.
My goal is to reach at least 100 trades, providing a meaningful sample size for evaluating the win rate.
For the first 10-20 trades, there will be some fine-tuning of the strategy, which could impact the win rate or potential losses. However, over the course of 100 trades, those effects should balance out.
Important Note: The strategies listed here are currently under development. Please conduct your own due diligence before implementing any of them in your account.
Strategy 1: 45 DTE Put Credit Spread on SPX
Complete Guide: Here
Application of Strategy: Here
Max Capital Allocation: $15k
Conditions: Only enter a trade on down days.
Parameters:
- Initial position: Short put at 0.25 delta, $25 width
- Second position: Short put at 0.20 delta, $25 to $50 width
- Subsequent positions: Short put at 0.20 delta, $50 width
Trade Proof on X: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
Overall Statistics
Total Trades | Open Positions | Wins | Loses | Win Rate | Cumulative Premiums |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | 1 | 14 | 2 | 87.5% | $ 1,175.16 |
Strategy 2: News Events Trade
Conditions:
- A company with strong fundamentals, such as consistent or growing EPS, that you'd be comfortable owning
- Substantial drop/rise following a news event, such as a quarterly report, analyst downgrade, or other developments
- No quarterly earnings reports scheduled within the next 30 to 45 days
- A strong support level established at a specific price point (optional)
Parameters:
- 30 - 45 DTE
- Bullish Strategy: Put Credit Spread ($20 - $50 wide) or Cash Secured Put between 0.10 - 0.20 delta
- Bearish Strategy: Call Credit Spread ($20 - $50 wide)
- Buy to close at 30-50% total premium received
- If strike tested:
- Accept assignment as part of the Wheel Strategy
- Roll down and out (ideally for a credit) if not ready for assignment
- For Credit Spread - exit/roll latest at 14 DTE
Trade Proof on X: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
Overall Statistics
Total Trades | Open Positions | Wins | Loses | Win Rate | Cumulative Premiums |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 92% | $ 2,512.02 |
Strategy 3: Deep ITM LEAPS Call/PMCC
Conditions:
- A company with strong fundamentals, such as consistent or growing EPS, that you'd be comfortable owning
- Significant drop after a news event as entry opportunity, with long-term fundamentals remaining strong
- A strong support level established at a specific price point (optional)
Parameters:
- At least 1 year DTE
- Deep ITM Call at 0.70 - 0.80 Delta
- Sell Covered Call following a rally in stock price at breakeven price or above
- Exit condition:
- Bull case:
- Exit when stock reached 0.90 delta. If super bullish, roll long call back to 0.80 delta instead to lock in some profit.
- When short strike tested, close both long and short call.
- Bear case: Exit at 90 DTE remaining
- Bull case:
Trade Proof on X: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
Overall Statistics
Locked In Profit: $6720.30 (from 4 trades)
Trade Type | Open Positions | Closed/Expired | Cumulative Premiums |
---|---|---|---|
LEAPS | 7 | 4 | -$21,287.00 |
PMCC | 1 | 26 | $1,153.53 |
Overall | -$20,133.47 |
Strategy 4: Financed Protective Put Ladder
The objective of this strategy is to construct a few long put ladders. In the event of a market crash and an IV spike, these long puts can be harvested to mitigate the portfolio losses incurred from other bullish strategies.
The long puts are financed through a put credit spread on the SPX. The objective is to close the credit spread at a 50% profit target and utilize these profits to finance the purchase of the long put. Hence these are considered "free" protection.
Parameters:
- SPX 45 DTE Put Credit Spread: $50 wide spread at around 0.10 delta to generate around $300, exit at 50% using GTC order
- SPY Long Put: 80-90 DTE for around $150
- Scale the amount above according to the size of your portfolio or the desired level of protection.
- This strategy is work in progress.
Overall Statistics
Trade Type | Open Positions | Closed/Expired | Net Premium |
---|---|---|---|
Put Credit Spread | 1 | 2 | $ 1,388.50 |
Long Put | 0 | 2 | -$228.17 |
Overall | $1160.33 |
Archived Strategies
I’ve decided to discontinue using these strategies as they don't align with my personality.
0 DTE SPX Gap Hunter
Complete Guide: Here
Conditions:
- Market gap up or down (> 1% change in price)
- Clear resistance or support established by mid-day on 15 min chart
Parameters:
- 0 DTE
- Call Credit Spread or Put Credit Spread at 0.10 delta, $20 width
- Buy to close at 30% total premium received
Overall Statistics
Total Trades | In Progress | Wins | Loses | Win Rate | Cumulative Premiums |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 100% | $247.47 |